Tobacco-attributable mortality

Project Details

Refine indirect methods to estimate smoking attributable mortality;

Project summary

Tobacco is estimated to be one of the leading causes of global disease burden, but most countries do not have direct evidence about the health level impact of smoking in their populations. Collaborative research with the Univ of Oxford (Sir Richard Peto) and the American Cancer Society led to an indirect method to estimate smoking-attributable mortality in developed countries based on observed lung cancer rates. The method has been used to provide local evidence to support stricter tobacco control policies, but needs to be updated, extended to other countries and applied to more recent vital registration data.


Laureate Professor Alan Lopez


University of Oxford

Research Publications

Publication of book 9 (3rd edition) by Oxford University Press on application of the method to various populations worldwide.

Research Group

Global Burden of Disease Group

Faculty Research Themes


School Research Themes

Data science, health metrics and disease modeling, Prevention and management of non-communicable diseases (including cancer), and promotion of mental health

Key Contact

For further information about this research, please contact the research group leader.

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