Health Economics and Simulation Modelling for Chronic Disease Unit

2026

  • Bailey, C., Van Dam, N., Davies, J. N., Schilling, C., & Galante, J. (2026). Quality of life, healthcare use and cost of practice from a nationally representative Australian survey to inform future economic evaluations of contemplative practices. Mindfulness. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12671-026-02788-9
  • Das, N., Nguyen, D., Lee, P., Robinson, S., & Gao, L. (2026). Estimating the health and economic burden of stroke among informal caregivers in Australia using Productivity Adjusted Life Year (PALY). European Journal of Cardiovascular Nursing, zvag004. https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjcn/zvag004
  • Elkin, J., Schilling, C., Hii, M. W., Choong, P. F., Dowsey, M., & Shadbolt, C. (2026). Diagnostic performance of a new framework for identifying obesity. Journal of Internal Medicine, 299(1), 172–175. https://doi.org/10.1111/joim.70049
  • Lee, P., Bivard, A., Kurunawai, C., Willcourt, M., Tan, A., Mahadevan, J., Waters, M., Harvey, J., Van Eunen, J., Dixon, K., Piantedosi, B., Davis, S., Donnan, G., Jannes, J., Kleinig, T., & Gao, L. (2026). Quantifying the cost savings of the South Australian Telestroke Service. Journal of Telemedicine and Telecare, 1357633X251389689. https://doi.org/10.1177/1357633X251389689
  • Leslie, K., Braat, S., Darvall, J. N., Peyton, P. J., Devlin, N., Myles, P. S., Corcoran, T. B., Short, T. G., Chan, M. T. V., Olesnicky, B. L., Tran-Duy, A., Maxwell-Wright, H., Schultz-Ferguson, C., Sidiropoulos, S., & Story, D. A. (2026). Sugammadex, neostigmine, and postoperative pulmonary complications: protocol of the SNaPP multicentre randomised controlled trial. BJA Open, 17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bjao.2026.100531
  • Mordaunt, D. A., Stark, Z., Elshaug, A. G., & Schilling, C. (2026). Genomic testing in Australia: A budget impact analysis using diffusion modeling from a healthcare system perspective. Value in Health, 29(3), 375–382. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2025.09.3067
  • Schilling, C., Wawryk, O., Collins, A., Sundararajan, V., Le, B. H., & Philip, J. (2026). Early palliative care and quality of end-of-life care for people with terminal cancer, Victoria, 2018–2023: A retrospective, population-based cohort study. Medical Journal of Australia, 224(1), e70128. https://doi.org/10.5694/mja2.70128
  • Toan, A. T. N., Phung, T. L., Tran-Duy, A., & Minh, H. V. (2026). Cost-effectiveness of add-on ivabradine versus standard pharmacotherapy in the treatment of heart failure in Vietnam: An analysis from a health system perspective. Value in Health Regional Issues, 101594. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2026.101594
  • Tran-Duy, A., Asbury, S., Spelman, T., Paterson, D. L., Buising, K. L., McDougall, C., Solomon, M., Crawford, R., Adie, S., Molnar, R., Mulford, J., Harris-Brown, T., Roney, J., de Steiger, R., Peel, T. N., & ASAP Trial Group. (2026). Economic evaluation of the addition of vancomycin to cefazolin prophylaxis in patients undergoing arthroplasty. PharmacoEconomics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40273-026-01609-0
  • Tran-Duy, A., Zhao, T., Fernando-Canavan, L., Clarke, P., Ekinci, E., O'Neal, D., & Devlin, N. (2026). Health utilities and disutilities associated with complications of type 1 diabetes: A systematic review and recommendations for health economic models. Value in Health. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2026.01.011

2025

  • Bailey, C., Dalziel, K., Constable, L., Devlin, N. J., Hiscock, H., Skouteris, H., & Peasgood, T. (2025). The performance of the EQ-HWB-S as a measure of quality-of-life of caregivers in families that have experienced adverse events. The European Journal of Health Economics, 26(1), 7–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10198-024-01688-w
  • Bailey, C., Dalziel, K., Constable, L., & Peasgood, T. (2025). Validity and reliability of the EQ-HWB in parents of children with health conditions. Value in Health, 28(9), 1370–1379. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2025.05.013
  • Bailey, C., & Peasgood, T. (2025). Content validity of the EQ-HWB in caregivers of children with health conditions. The Patient - Patient-Centered Outcomes Research, 18(6), 661–671. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40271-025-00749-3
  • Bailey, C., Peasgood, T., Michalowsky, B., & Engel, L. (2025). The psychometric performance of the EQ health and wellbeing in caregivers of persons living with dementia. Value in Health, 28(8), 1221–1230. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2025.04.2168
  • Bailey, C., Trapani, K., Davies, J. N., Van Dam, N., Galante, J., & Peasgood, T. (2025). The psychometric performance of the EQ-HWB-9 for measuring health and wellbeing in a general population sample from Australia and New Zealand. Quality of Life Research, 34(12), 3707–3719. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11136-025-04061-3
  • Chima, S., Martinez-Gutierrez, J., Hunter, B., Laughlin, A., Chondros, P., Lumsden, N., Boyle, D., Nelson, C., Amores, P., Tran-Duy, A., Manski-Nankervis, J. A., & Emery, J. (2025). Future Health Today and patients at risk of undiagnosed cancer: a pragmatic cluster randomised trial of quality-improvement activities in general practice. British Journal of General Practice, 75(754), e306–e315. https://doi.org/10.3399/BJGP.2024.0491
  • Dakin, H. A., Gao, N., Leal, J., Holman, R. R., Tran-Duy, A., & Clarke, P. (2025). Using QALYs as an outcome for assessing global prediction accuracy in diabetes simulation models. Medical Decision Making, 45(1), 45–59. https://doi.org/10.1177/0272989X241285866
  • Darvall, J. N., De Silva, A. P., Von Ungern-Sternberg, B., Story, D. A., Davidson, A. J., Allen, M. L., Tran-Duy, A., Schultz-Ferguson, C., Ha, V., Braat, S., & Leslie, K. (2025). Chewing gum to treat postoperative nausea and vomiting in female patients: A multicenter randomized trial. Anesthesiology, 142(3), 454–464. https://doi.org/10.1097/ALN.0000000000005283
  • Darvall, J. N., De Silva, A. P., Von Ungern-Sternberg, B. S., Story, D. A., Davidson, A. J., Allen, M. L., Tran-Duy, A., Schultz-Ferguson, C., Ha, V., Braat, S., & Leslie, K. (2025). Chewing gum and postoperative nausea and vomiting: Reply. Anesthesiology, 143(3), 787–788. https://doi.org/10.1097/ALN.0000000000005597
  • Davies, J. N., Bailey, C., Galante, J., & Van Dam, N. T. (2025). Prevalence and predictors of meditation use in Australia and New Zealand: Results from a nationally representative survey. BMC Complementary Medicine and Therapies, 26(1), 11. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12906-025-05183-4
  • Duong, V., Tirant, K., Raza Khan, U., Marsden, P., Steinfort, D., Wilsmore, N., Faisal, W., Suleiman, M., Tran-Duy, A., Amores, P., Hannan, L. M., & Muruganandan, S. (2025). Evaluation of a digital health model of care for the management of adults with symptomatic malignant pleural effusion. Respirology Case Reports, 13(6). https://doi.org/10.1002/rcr2.70194
  • Ekegren, C. L., Lee, P., Gabbe, B. J., Hill, K. D., Keeves, J., Kimmel, L., Kunstler, B., Reeder, S. C., & Brusco, N. K. (2025). Uptake of telehealth services by people recovering from road trauma in Victoria, Australia. Trauma, 27(2), 149–156. https://doi.org/10.1177/14604086241272544
  • Holmes-Truscott, E., Jordan, J., Churilov, L., Davis, W., Glastras, S., Klaic, M., Read, M., Tran-Duy, A., O'Neal, D., & Ekinci, E. (2025). Accelerating diabetes innovation for real-world community impact through interdisciplinary research: Who is at the table? Diabetic Medicine, 42(7), 1–5. https://doi.org/10.1111/dme.70057
  • Lee, P., Wu, T., Chen, C., Lin, L., Garcia-Esperon, C., Cordato, D. J., Miteff, F., Kleinig, T. J., Choi, P. M. C., Xin, C., Barber, P. A., Ranta, A., Fink, J. N., Parsons, M. W., Gao, L., & International Study Group. (2025). Cost-effectiveness of endovascular thrombectomy in large vessel occlusion stroke for the very elderly. Neurology, 105(9), e214079. https://doi.org/10.1212/WNL.0000000000214079
  • Rele, S., Schilling, C., Shadbolt, C., Spelman, T., Taylor, N. F., Dowsey, M. M., & Choong, P. F. M. (2025). Clinical and cost-effectiveness of earlier discharge from acute hospital after total joint arthroplasty. ANZ Journal of Surgery, 95(1–2), 180–188. https://doi.org/10.1111/ans.19322
  • Rele, S., Shadbolt, C., Schilling, C., Thuraisingam, S., Trieu, J., Choong, E. L. P., Gould, D., Taylor, N. F., Dowsey, M. M., & Choong, P. F. M. (2025). Validation of the Clavien-Dindo classification and Comprehensive Complication Index as measures of morbidity following total hip and knee arthroplasty. The Bone & Joint Journal, 107-B(1), 81–88. https://doi.org/10.1302/0301-620X.107B1.BJJ-2023-1400.R2
  • Sarker, A. R., Islam, R., & Tran-Duy, A. (2025). Out-of-pocket cost and financial catastrophe of patients with cancer: The alarming cost-of-illness in Bangladesh. International Journal for Equity in Health, 24(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12939-025-02421-6
  • Schilling, C., Bailey, C., Merollini, K., Giles, A., Platts, C., Currow, D. C., Button, E., Runacres, F., Crawford, G. B., Merlo, G., Yoong, J., Philip, J., Tieman, J., Agar, M. R., Yates, P., Hudson, P., Sundararajan, V., Carter, H., & McCaffrey, N. (2025). Toward a comprehensive research agenda: Exploring the health economics of palliative care in Australia. BMC Palliative Care, 24(1), 276. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12904-025-01867-3
  • West, K. L., Spelman, T., Cui, W., Latham, S., Deij, S., Minck, S., Mason, S., Saunders, C., Poliness, C., James, P. A., Wheeler, G., Keogh, L. A., Best, S., & Phillips, K. A. (2025). Evaluation of a telehealth service to support breast cancer prevention medication uptake: A protocol of a mixed methods study. BMJ Open, 15(6), e098198. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2024-098198
  • Zaloumis, S., Summers, M. J., Presneill, J. J., Bellomo, R., Chapple, L. A. S., Chapman, M. J., Deane, A. M., Ferrie, S., French, C., Hurford, S., Kakho, N., Maiden, M. J., O'Connor, S. N., Peake, S. L., Ridley, E. J., Tran-Duy, A., Williams, P. J., Young, P. J., & Karahalios, A. (2025). TARGET Protein: The effect of augmented administration of enteral protein to critically ill adults on clinical outcomes—statistical analysis plan for a cluster randomized, cross-sectional, double cross-over clinical trial. Trials, 26(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-025-08759-0

2024

2023

  • Fernando-Canavan, L., Abraham, P., Devlin, N. & Tran-Duy, A. (2023). Health-related quality of life in patients with extremity bone sarcoma after surgical treatment: a systematic review. QUALITY OF LIFE RESEARCH, pp. 18-. doi:10.1007/s11136-023-03554-3
  • Peel, T. N., Astbury, S., Cheng, A. C., Paterson, D. L., Buising, K. L., Spelman, T., Tran-Duy, A., Adie, S., Boyce, G., McDougall, C., Molnar, R., Mulford, J., Rehfisch, P., Solomon, M., Crawford, R., Harris-Brown, T., Roney, J., Wisniewski, J., de Steiger, R. & ASAP Trial Group, (2023). Trial of Vancomycin and Cefazolin as Surgical Prophylaxis in Arthroplasty. New England Journal of Medicine, 389 (16), pp.1488-1498. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2301401
  • Gorniak, M., Pardillo, M., Keating, C., Brown, C., & Schilling, C. (2023). Net cost savings arising from patient completion of an active self-management program. PloS one, 18(11), e0293352. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0293352
  • Schilling, C., Tew, M., Bunzli, S., Shadbolt, C., Lohmander, L. S., Balogh, Z. J., Paolucci, F., Choong, P. F., Dowsey, M. M., & Clarke, P. (2023). An Economic Model for Estimating Trial Costs with an Application to Placebo Surgery Trials. Applied health economics and health policy, 21(2), 263–273. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40258-022-00775-4
  • Zhou, Y., Dowsey, M., Spelman, T., Choong, P., & Schilling, C. (2023). SMART choice (knee) tool: a patient-focused predictive model to predict improvement in health-related quality of life after total knee arthroplasty. ANZ journal of surgery, 93(1-2), 316–327. https://doi.org/10.1111/ans.18250
  • Khorshidi, H. A., Aickelin, U. & de Silva, A. (2023). Evaluation of the Early Intervention Physiotherapist Framework for Injured Workers in Victoria, Australia: Data Analysis Follow-Up. HEALTHCARE, 11(15), pp. 11-. doi:10.3390/healthcare11152205
  • Adhikari, D., Jiang, W., Zhan, J., He, Z., Rawat, D. B., Aickelin, U. & Khorshidi, H. A. (2023). A Comprehensive Survey on Imputation of Missing Data in Internet of Things. ACM COMPUTING SURVEYS, 55(7), pp. 38-. doi:10.1145/3533381

2022

  • Clarke, P.M., Tran-Duy, A., Roope, L.S.J. et al. The comparative mortality of an elite group in the long run of history: an observational analysis of politicians from 11 countries. Eur J Epidemiol 37, 891–899 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-022-00885-2
  • Zhou, Y., Gould, D., Choong, P., Dowsey, M., & Schilling, C. (2022). Implementing predictive tools in surgery: A narrative review in the context of orthopaedic surgery. ANZ journal of surgery, 92(12), 3162–3169. https://doi.org/10.1111/ans.18044
  • La, D.T.V., Zhao, Y., Arokiasamy, P., Atun, R., Mercer, S., Marthias, T., McPake, B., Pati, S., Palladino, R, Lee, J.T. (2022). Multimorbidity and out-of-pocket expenditure for medicines in China and India. BMJ GLOBAL HEALTH, 7(11). https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-007724
  • Zhou, Y., Weeden, C., Patten, L., Dowsey, M., Bunzli, S., Choong, P., & Schilling, C. (2022). Evaluating willingness for surgery using the SMART Choice (Knee) patient prognostic tool for total knee arthroplasty: study protocol for a pragmatic randomised controlled trial. BMC musculoskeletal disorders, 23(1), 179. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12891-022-05123-0
  • Farhadinia, B., Aickelin, U., & Khorshidi, H. A. (2022). A parametric similarity measure for extended picture fuzzy sets and its application in pattern recognition. Iranian Journal of Fuzzy Systems, 19(6), 141-160. doi: 10.22111/ijfs.2022.7217
  • Aramesh, S., Aickelin, U. & Akbarzadeh Khorshidi, H. A hybrid projection method for resource-constrained project scheduling problem under uncertainty. Neural Comput & Applic 34, 14557–14576 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-022-07321-2
  • Hafezalkotob, A., Fardi, K., Aickelin, U., Chaharbaghi, S. & Akbarzadeh Khorshidi, H. (2022). A cooperative robust human resource allocation problem for healthcare systems for disaster management. Computers and Industrial Engineering, 170, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2022.108283
  • Bailey, C., Howell, M., Raghunandan, R., Salisbury, A., Chen, G., Coast, J., Craig, J. C., Devlin, N. J., Huynh, E., Lancsar, E., Mulhern, B. J., Norman, R., Petrou, S., Ratcliffe, J., Street, D. J., Howard, K., Viney, R., & Quality of Life in Kids: Key Evidence to Strengthen Decisions in Australia (QUOKKA), Tools for Outcomes Research to Measure, Value Child Health (TORCH) Project Teams (2022). Preference Elicitation Techniques Used in Valuing Children's Health-Related Quality-of-Life: A Systematic Review. PharmacoEconomics, 40(7), 663–698. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40273-022-01149-3
  • Shannon Newman, June McLoughlin, Helen Skouteris, Claire Blewitt, Edward Melhuish & Cate Bailey (2022) Does an integrated, wrap-around school and community service model in an early learning setting improve academic outcomes for children from low socioeconomic backgrounds?, Early Child Development and Care, 192:5, 816-830, DOI: 10.1080/03004430.2020.1803298
  • Bailey, C., Skouteris, H., Harrison, C. L., Hill, B., Thangaratinam, S., Teede, H., & Ademi, Z. (2022). A Comparison of the Cost-Effectiveness of Lifestyle Interventions in Pregnancy. Value in health: the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 25(2), 194–202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2021.07.013

2021

  • Tran-Duy, A., Knight, J., Clarke, P.M. et al. Development of a life expectancy table for individuals with type 1 diabetes. Diabetologia 64, 2228–2236 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00125-021-05503-6
  • Tran-Duy, A., Morrisroe, K., Clarke, P., Stevens, W., Proudman, S., Sahhar, J., Nikpour, M., & Australian Scleroderma Interest Group (ASIG) (2021). Cost-Effectiveness of Combination Therapy for Patients With Systemic Sclerosis-Related Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension. Journal of the American Heart Association, 10(7), e015816. https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.119.015816
  • Deij, S., Madsen, J. B. & Puzzello, L. (2021). When are instruments generated from geographic characteristics in bilateral relationships invalid? JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, 36(4), pp. 437-452. doi:10.1002/jae.2815
  • Hadi Akbarzadeh Khorshidi & Uwe Aickelin (2021) Multicriteria group decision-making under uncertainty using interval data and cloud models, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 72:11, 2542-2556, DOI: 10.1080/01605682.2020.1796541
  • Khorshidi, H. A. & Aickelin, U. (2021). Constructing classifiers for imbalanced data using diversity optimisation. INFORMATION SCIENCES, 565 pp. 1-16. doi:10.1016/j.ins.2021.02.069
  • Farhadinia, B., Aickelin, U. & Khorshidi, H. (2021). Higher order hesitant fuzzy choquet integral operator and its application to multiple criteria decision making. Iranian Journal of Fuzzy Systems, 18(1), pp. 1-16. doi:10.22111/ijfs.2021.5868
  • Bailey, C., Skouteris, H., Morris, H., O'Donnell, R., Hill, B., & Ademi, Z. (2021). Economic evaluation methods used in home-visiting interventions: A systematic search and review. Health & social care in the community, 29(6), 1650–1667. https://doi.org/10.1111/hsc.13349

2020 and earlier

  • Fernando-Canavan L., Gust A., Hsueh A., Tran-Duy A., Kirk M., Brooks P., Knight J. (2021) Measuring the economic impact of hospital-acquired complications on an acute health service. Australian Health Review 45, 135-142.
  • Vu, M., Carvalho, N., Clarke, P. M., Buchbinder, R., & Tran-Duy, A. (2021). Impact of Comorbid Conditions on Healthcare Expenditure and Work-related Outcomes in Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis. The Journal of rheumatology, 48(8), 1221–1229. https://doi.org/10.3899/jrheum.200231
  • Tran-Duy, A., Knight, J., Palmer, A. J., Petrie, D., Lung, T. W. C., Herman, W. H., Eliasson, B., Svensson, A. M., & Clarke, P. M. (2020). A Patient-Level Model to Estimate Lifetime Health Outcomes of Patients With Type 1 Diabetes. Diabetes care, 43(8), 1741–1749. https://doi.org/10.2337/dc19-2249
  • Akbarzadeh Khorshidi, H., Hassani-Mahmooei, B., & Haffari, G. (2020). An Interpretable Algorithm on Post-injury Health Service Utilization Patterns to Predict Injury Outcomes. Journal of occupational rehabilitation, 30(3), 331–342. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10926-019-09863-0
  • Nikfalazar, S., Yeh, CH., Bedingfield, S., & Akbarzadeh Khorshidi, H. Missing data imputation using decision trees and fuzzy clustering with iterative learning. Knowl Inf Syst 62, 2419–2437 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10115-019-01427-1
  • Bailey, C., Skouteris, H., Harrison, C. L., Boyle, J., Bartlett, R., Hill, B., Thangaratinam, S., Teede, H., & Ademi, Z. (2020). Cost Effectiveness of Antenatal Lifestyle Interventions for Preventing Gestational Diabetes and Hypertensive Disease in Pregnancy. PharmacoEconomics - open, 4(3), 499–510. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41669-020-00197-9
  • Bailey, C., Tawia, S., & McGuire, E. (2020). Breastfeeding Duration and Infant Sleep Location in a Cohort of Volunteer Breastfeeding Counselors. Journal of human lactation : official journal of International Lactation Consultant Association, 36(2), 354–364. https://doi.org/10.1177/0890334419851801